Happy 45th Biweekly Celebration of Flattening the Curve

Yes, it has been 90 weeks.

EXECUTIVE ORDER N-33-20
WHEREAS on March 4, 2020, I proclaimed a State of Emergency to exist in California as a result of the threat of COVID-19; and

WHEREAS in a short period of time, COVID-19 has rapidly spread throughout California, necessitating updated and more stringent guidance from federal, state, and local public health officials; and…

ORDER OF THE STATE PUBLIC HEALTH OFFICER March 19, 2020

To protect public health, I as State Public Health Officer and Director of the California Department of Public Health order all individuals living in the State of California to stay home or at their place of residence…

fear (prolonged)

Moller then outlined the potential consequences of fear on overall, physical, emotional, environmental, and spiritual health. The potential effects of chronic fear on overall health include:

  • Immune system dysfunction

  • Endocrine system dysfunction

  • Autonomic nervous system alterations

  • Sleep/wake cycle disruption

  • Eating disorders

  • Alterations in hypothalamus-pituitary-adrenal axis

...the costs of risk misperception, especially from fear and anxiety, must be included in cost–benefit analyses of risk management options

The first of these practical steps should be that government and business adopt this new broader concept of risk as they formulate risk management policy. 

Increases in COVID‐19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States

…At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days. In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people. Notably, Israel with over 60% of their population fully vaccinated had the highest COVID-19 cases per 1 million people in the last 7 days. The lack of a meaningful association between percentage population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases is further exemplified, for instance, by comparison of Iceland and Portugal. Both countries have over 75% of their population fully vaccinated and have more COVID-19 cases per 1 million people than countries such as Vietnam and South Africa that have around 10% of their population fully vaccinated.

the soft sand of Gibraltar

52% of peak and rising 

1,379 infections per 100K people reported last 7 days

Gibraltar reports highest number of new infections since January

COVID-19 infections are increasing in Gibraltar, with 66 new infections reported on average each day. That’s 52% of the peak — the highest daily average reported on January 6.

Gibraltar has administered at least 94,469 doses of COVID vaccines so far. Assuming every person needs 2 doses, that’s enough to have vaccinated about 140.2% of the country’s population.

revisiting symptoms

We found that fever and low appetite remained *strong* correlates and that chills, shortness of breath, chest tightness, sore throat, and runny/stuffed nose remained *weak* correlates of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels when accounting for these characteristics.

…greater disease severity, older age, male sex, higher BMI, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index score, fever, body aches and low appetite consistently correlate with higher antibody titers.